Bitcoin Follows a Maturation Curve: Volatility Falls
Matt Hogan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, asserts that Bitcoin strictly follows a maturation curve. The asset is gradually transforming from a speculative instrument into "digital gold," as evidenced by declining volatility.
Volatility dynamics show a stable trend toward cryptocurrency market stabilization.
Over the past ten years, BTC's annual volatility stood at 66%. Over five years, this figure dropped to 52%, over three years to 47%, and in the last year fell to 44%.
In the future, Bitcoin's volatility could drop below the Nasdaq 100 index level, currently ranging between 20–25%. For comparison, over the last five years, BTC has been less volatile than Tesla stock and comparable to NVIDIA.
Analysis shows high efficiency of adding crypto assets to traditional portfolios.
Adding just 1% Bitcoin to a classic portfolio of stocks and bonds since 2015 increased its overall volatility only from 9.8% to 10%. Meanwhile, this decision added nearly one percentage point to average annual returns.











