Probability of an October Fed Rate Hike Falls to 26%
The probability of the US Federal Reserve raising its key interest rate at the October meeting has fallen to 26%. These figures are provided by quotes from the Kalshi platform, reflecting current market assessments.
The situation may change following the release of the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Particular attention is focused on the unemployment rate, which, if it exceeds 4.1%, could influence the regulator's decision.









